Share:


Foreign direct investment legislation and economic growth in Western Balkan countries: a panel analysis

Abstract

Foreign direct investment (FDI) legislation plays a crucial role in fetching foreign investments. The objective of this study is to measure the impact of FDI on the Western Balkans countries (WBCs) and interpret the FDI law in the said countries. A panel data was obtained from the World Bank Indicators in order to conduct an empirical investigation. The sample is spread over twenty-eight years from 1995 to 2022. For econometric analysis, the study uses pooled ordinary least square (OLS), fixed effect (FE), random effect (RE), and Hausman test. The study also uses the Breuch and Pagan Lagrangian Multiplier test for Random Effect, the test for parameter constancy, the modified Wald test for groupwise heteroskedasticity, the Wooldridge test for autocorrelation, the test for serial correlation in residuals, and a test for normality. After a detailed analysis, the study concludes that FDI has a positive impact on the economic growth of WBCs. The study suggests that enforcing the rule of law on FDI will reduce the corruption index and create a favourable environment for WBCs to attract foreign investment.


First published online 17 March 2025

Keyword : law, foreign direct investment, economic growth, panel data, fixed effect, random effect, Hausman test

How to Cite
Ibraimi, X., Ziberi, B. F., Ahmad, N., & Vveinhardt, J. (2025). Foreign direct investment legislation and economic growth in Western Balkan countries: a panel analysis. Technological and Economic Development of Economy, 1-21. https://doi.org/10.3846/tede.2025.23132
Published in Issue
Mar 17, 2025
Abstract Views
76
PDF Downloads
128
Creative Commons License

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.

References

Abbes, S. M., Mostéfa, B., Seghir, G. M., & Zakarya, G. Y. (2015). Causal interactions between FDI, and economic growth: Evidence from dynamic panel co-integration. Procedia Economics and Finance, 23, 276–290. https://doi.org/10.1016/S2212-5671(15)00541-9

Abor, J. Y., Dwumfour, R. A., Agbloyor, E. K., & Pan, L. (2024). Foreign direct investment and inclusive finance: Do financial markets and quality of institutions matter? Empirical Economics, 67, 773–815. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00181-024-02567-2

Acar, T., & Çelik, İ. E. (2020, September 2–4). Panel data analysis on technology transfer and economic growth: The case of Eurasian economies. In Proceedings of the International Conference on Eurasian Economies (pp. 124–129). Baku, Azerbaijan. https://doi.org/10.36880/C12.02379

Ahlquist, J. S., & Prakash, A. (2010). FDI and the costs of contract enforcement in developing countries. Policy Sciences, 43, 181–200. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11077-009-9093-3

Ahn, J., Habib, A., Malacrino, D., & Presbitero, A. F. (2023). Fragmenting foreign direct investment hits emerging economies hardest. IMF Blog. https://www.imf.org/en/Blogs/Articles/2023/04/05/fragmenting-foreign-direct-investment-hits-emerging-economies-hardest

Asghar, N., Nasreen, S., & Rehman, H. (2011). Relationship between FDI and economic growth in selected Asian countries: A panel data analysis. Review of Economics & Finance, 2, 84–96.

Barro, R. J. (1991). Economic growth in a cross section of countries. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 106(2), 407–443. https://doi.org/10.2307/2937943

Basu, P., Chakraborty, C., & Reagle, D. (2003). Liberalization, FDI, and growth in developing countries: A panel cointegration approach. Economic Inquiry, 41(3), 510–516. https://doi.org/10.1093/ei/cbg024

Bauerle Danzman, S. (2016). Contracting with whom? The differential effects of investment treaties on FDI. International Interactions, 42(3), 452–478. https://doi.org/10.1080/03050629.2016.1121451

Botrić, V. (2010). Foreign direct investments in the Western Balkans: Privatization, institutional change and banking sector dominance. Economic Annals, 55(187), 7–30. https://doi.org/10.2298/EKA1087007B

Bucevska, V., & Naumoski, A. (2023). Remittances, FDI and economic growth: The case of South-East European countries. Post-Communist Economies, 35(2), 179–209. https://doi.org/10.1080/14631377.2023.2169520

Ciobanu, A. M. (2020). The impact of FDI on economic growth in case of Romania. International Journal of Economics and Finance, 12(12), 81–88. https://doi.org/10.5539/ijef.v12n12p81

Domazet, I., & Marjanovic, D. M. (2017). Foreign direct investment in the function of economic development-example of selected countries in the Western Balkans. International Letters of Social and Humanistic Sciences, 79, 1–15. https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3120276

Du, M. (2024). International investment law and the rule of law: The case of China. Washington International Law Journal, 33(2), 315–344. https://digitalcommons.law.uw.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=1936&context=wilj

Ercegovac, D., & Beker Pucar, E. (2022). The analysis of greenfield FDI and economic growth in Western Balkans and Visegrad States. In Proceedings of the 27th International Scientific Conference Strategic Management and Decision Support Systems in Strategic Management (pp. 494–501). https://doi.org/10.46541/978-86-7233-406-7_252

Estrin, S., & Uvalić, M. (2016). Foreign direct investment in the Western Balkans: What role has it played during transition? Comparative Economic Studies, 58, 455–483. https://doi.org/10.1057/ces.2016.10

Fetai, B., Koku, P. S., Caushi, A., & Fetai, A. (2016). The relationship between exchange rate and inflation: The case of Western Balkans countries. Journal of Business Economics and Finance, 5(4), 360–364. https://doi.org/10.17261/Pressacademia.2017.358

Ganić, M., & Mamuti, A. (2016). Developments, trends and features of financial integration in the Western Balkan region – Cross-country comparisons. International Journal of Management Economics and Business, 16, 1–11.

Islam, M. S., & Beloucif, A. (2024). Determinants of foreign direct investment: A systematic review of the empirical studies. Foreign Trade Review. 59(2), 309–337. https://doi.org/10.1177/00157325231158846

Jasoum, B. H., Younus, N. M., & Hussein, F. F. (2021). Analysis of the reality of foreign direct investment and measuring its impact on economic growth for the period (2000–2017) Algeria as a model. Muthanna Journal of Administrative and Economic Sciences, 11, 165–175. https://doi.org/10.52113/6/2021-11/165-175

Jun, S. (2015). The nexus between FDI and growth in the SAARC member countries. East Asian Economic Review, 19, 39–70. https://doi.org/10.11644/KIEP.JEAI.2015.19.1.290

Kaddouri, N., & Benelbar, M. H. (2024). The impact of foreign direct investment on economic growth: Empirical evidence. Financial Markets, Institutions and Risks, 8(1), 123–132. https://doi.org/10.61093/fmir.8(1).123-132.2024

Krasniqi, B., Ahmetbašić, J., & Bartlett, W. (2022). Foreign direct investment and backward spillovers in the Western Balkans. Southeastern Europe, 46, 1–22. https://doi.org/10.30965/18763332-46010001

Kurtishi-Kastrati, S. (2013). Impact of FDI on economic growth: An overview of the main theories of FDI and empirical research. European Scientific Journal, 9(7), 56–77.

Law on Foreign Investments of the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina. (2001). Official Gazette of Federation B&H, No. 61/01, 50/03, 77/15. https://track.unodc.org/uploads/documents/BRI-legal-resources/BiH/11_-_Law_on_Foreign_Investments_of_the_Federation_Bosnia_and_Herzegovina.pdf

Lewis, W. A. (1954). Economic development with unlimited supplies of labour. The Manchester School, 22(2), 139–191. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-9957.1954.tb00021.x

Lloyds Bank. (2024). Foreign direct investment (FDI) in Montenegro. https://www.lloydsbanktrade.com/en/market-potential/montenegro/investment

Malovic, M., Özer, M., & Zdravković, A. (2018). Misunderstanding of FDI in the Western Balkans: Cart before the horse and wheels without suspension. Journal of Balkan and Near Eastern Studies, 21(4), 462–477. https://doi.org/10.1080/19448953.2018.1506285

Mensah, E., Mensah, R. O., & Danquah, D. A. (2024). Threshold effects of inflation on the FDI–growth nexus: Evidence from inflation-targeting countries in sub-Saharan Africa. Economic Research-Ekonomska Istraživanja, 37(1), Article 2299991. https://doi.org/10.1080/1331677X.2023.2299991

Merko, F., & Muço, K. (2020). Tax incentives and the location of FDI. Evidence from a panel data in Balkan countries. Journal Transition Studies Review, 27(2), 3–12. https://doi.org/10.14665/1614-4007-27-2-001

Minović, J., Stevanović, S., & Aleksić, V. (2020). The relationship between foreign direct investment and institutional quality in Western Balkan countries. Journal of Balkan and Near Eastern Studies, 23, 40–61. https://doi.org/10.1080/19448953.2020.1818038

Nair-Reichert, U., & Weinhold, D. (2001). Causality tests for cross‐country panels: A new look at FDI and economic growth in developing countries. Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 63(2), 153–171. https://doi.org/10.1111/1468-0084.00214

Nistor, P. (2014). FDI and economic growth, the case of Romania. Procedia Economics and Finance, 15, 577–582. https://doi.org/10.1016/S2212-5671(14)00514-0

Opeyemi, A. F. (2020). Impact of foreign direct investment and inflation on economic growth of five randomly selected countries in Africa. Journal of Economics and International Finance, 12(2), 65–73. https://doi.org/10.5897/JEIF2020.1031

Pavlović, A., Njegovan, M., Ivanišević, A., Radišić, M., Takači, A., Lošonc, A., & Kot, S. (2021). The impact of foreign direct investments and economic growth on environmental degradation: The case of the Balkans. Energies, 14(3), Article 566. https://doi.org/10.3390/en14030566

Pegkas, P. (2015). The impact of FDI on economic growth in Eurozone countries. The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, 12(2), 124–132. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jeca.2015.05.001

Perić, M., & Stanišić, N. (2020). FDI inflow effects on Western Balkan area’s labour markets. European Journal of Applied Economics, 17, 147–160. https://doi.org/10.5937/EJAE17-25663

Perry, A. (2000). Effective legal systems and foreign direct investment: In search of the evidence. International and Comparative Law Quarterly, 49, 779–799. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0020589300064654

Pollan, T. (2006). Legal framework for the admission of FDI. Eleven International Publishing.

Popović, G., Erić, O., & Stanić, S. (2020). Trade openness, institutions and economic growth of the Western Balkans countries. Montenegrin Journal of Economics, 16(3), 173–184. https://doi.org/10.14254/1800-5845/2020.16-3.14

Rahman, M. M., & Alam, K. (2021). Exploring the driving factors of economic growth in the world’s largest economies. Heliyon, 7(5), Article e07109. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.heliyon.2021.e07109

Redzepagić, S., & Richet, X. (2008). The attractiveness of the Western Balkans for the FDI. Economic Analysis, 41(1–2), 48–59. https://www.library.ien.bg.ac.rs/index.php/ea/article/view/49

Sağlam, Y. (2017). FDI and economic growth in European transition economies: Panel data analysis. Journal of Yaşar University, 12(46), 123–135.

Saidi, Y., & Ochi, A. (2023). Estimating relationships among foreign direct investment, governance quality, and economic growth in developing countries using the threshold auto‐regressive model. Regional Science Policy & Practice, 15(2), 403–424. https://doi.org/10.1111/rsp3.12654

Savićević, M., & Kostić, M. (2020). The impact analysis of foreign direct investment on export: The case of the Western Balkan countries. Economic Themes, 58(2), 171–186. https://doi.org/10.2478/ethemes-2020-0010

Schumpeter, J. A. (1936). [Review of The general theory of employment, interest and money, by J. M. Keynes]. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 31(196), 791–795. https://doi.org/10.2307/2278703

Schumpeter, J. A. (2012). [Review of the theory of economic development: An inquiry into profits, capital, credit, interest and the business cycle, by A. Croitoru]. Journal of Comparative Research in Anthropology and Sociology, 3(2), 137–148. https://www.ceeol.com/search/article-detail?id=58275

Shah, W. U. H., Yasmeen, R., Sarfraz, M., & Ivascu, L. (2023). The repercussions of economic growth, industrialization, foreign direct investment, and technology on municipal solid waste: Evidence from OECD economies. Sustainability, 15, Article 836. https://doi.org/10.3390/su15010836

Shkodra, N., Sopi, X., & Krasniqi, F. X. (2021). The impact of foreign direct investment in the Western Balkan countries – A panel data analysis. International Journal of Sustainable Development and Planning, 16(6), 1185–1190. https://doi.org/10.18280/ijsdp.160619

Staats, J., & Biglaiser, G. (2012). Foreign direct investment in Latin America: The importance of judicial strength and rule of law. International Studies Quarterly, 56, 193–202. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1468-2478.2011.00690.x

Sucubasi, B., Trenovski, B., Imeri, B., & Merdzan, G. (2021). The effects of FDI on domestic investments in Western Balkans. SHS Web of Conferences, 92, Article 07059. https://doi.org/10.1051/shsconf/20219207059

Svrtinov, D., Gjorgieva-Trajkovska, D., & Koleva, D. (2017). The effect of foreign direct investment in Western Balkan economies for the period 2005–2015. ILIRIA International Review, 7, 9–20.

The Assembly of the Republic of Kosovo. (2013, December 12). Law No. 04/L-220 for Foreign Investments. https://investmentpolicy.unctad.org/investment-laws/laws/211/kosovo-law-on-foreign-investment

The Assembly of the Republic of Kosovo. (2014, January 9). Law No. 04/L-220 for Foreign Investments. Official Gazette of the Republic of Kosovo. https://gzk.rks-gov.net/ActDocumentDetail.aspx?ActID=8982

The Assembly of the Republic of Northern Macedonia. (2020). Law on strategic investments in the Republic of North Macedonia. De.Jure. https://dejure.mk/zakon/ligj-per-investime-strategjike-ne-republiken-e-maqedonise-se-veriut#

Topalli, M., Papavangjeli, M., Ivanaj, S., & Ferra, B. (2021). The impact of foreign direct investments on poverty reduction in the Western Balkans. Economics, 15, 129–149. https://doi.org/10.1515/econ-2021-0008

Topi, K., & Xhepa, S. (2023). Quality of institutions, foreign direct investments and economic growth: Empirical evidence from Balkan economies. Economicus, 22, 43–52. https://doi.org/10.58944/suvu3944

Topxhiu, R. M., & Radoniqi, D. K. (2018). Foreign direct investment and economic growth: Empirical evidence from the West Balkan countries. Journal of Academic Research in Economics, 10(2), 315–334.

Trpeski, P., Cvetanoska, M., & Kozheski, K. (2021). The impact of foreign direct investments on economic growth and trade: A panel approach of selected Western Balkan countries. Management Research & Practice, 13(3), 21–31.

Tu, N. A. (2024). Innovation and foreign direct investment attraction in developing countries. Cogent Economics & Finance, 12(1), Article 2312386. https://doi.org/10.1080/23322039.2024.2312386

U.S. Department of State. (2021). 2021 investment climate statements: Bosnia and Herzegovina. https://www.state.gov/reports/2021-investment-climate-statements/bosnia-and-herzegovina

U.S. Department of State. (2023a). 2023 investment climate statements: Serbia. https://www.state.gov/reports/2023-investment-climate-statements/serbia/#:~:text=A%20foreign%20investor%20is%20guaranteed,%20be%20the%20subject%20of%20expropriation

U.S. Department of State. (2023b). 2023 Investment climate statements: North Macedonia. https://www.state.gov/reports/2023-investment-climate-statements/north-macedonia/

U.S. Department of State. (2023c). 2023 Investment climate statements: Albania. https://www.state.gov/reports/2023-investment-climate-statements/albania/

Yousaf, A., Erum, N., & Bibi, F. (2016). Economic growth, foreign direct investment and the environment: An empirical investigation for SAARC countries. Global Strategic & Security Studies Review, 1(1), 1–12. https://doi.org/10.31703/gsssr.2016(I-I).01

Zhang, X., & Liu, W. (2021). The rule of law and foreign direct investment. Proceedings of the 2021 3rd International Conference on Economic Management and Cultural Industry (ICEMCI 2021), 118–122. Atlantis Press. https://doi.org/10.2991/assehr.k.211209.019

Ziberi, B., & Alili, M. Z. (2021). Economic growth in the Western Balkans: A panel analysis. South East European Journal of Economics and Business, 16(2), 68–81. https://doi.org/10.2478/jeb-2021-0015